Thursday, August 15, 2013

SO WHAT DID YOU PAY FOR GAS BACK IN 1970?



Cleaning out shoebox after shoebox of canceled checks going back to 1970 brought two surprises to a suburban Virginia woman and her spouse: how cheap – inexpensive compared with now – prices were; and how many local businesses had disappeared in the meantime.
Seeing the dollar amounts inked in below the payees showed how things have changed over more than forty years. Meeting day to day expenses was not easy then, but in retrospect the value of the dollar – the international standard then and still hanging on now – seems better in that past than in the present.
Could that be?
Now and then a visit to the Internet’s inflation calculator brings the feeling that the calculations are not quite right. Take gasoline. Back in the 70s – the very early 1970s – one dollar could buy about five gallons. The Bureau of Labor Statistics website says 20 cents in 1971 would buy what $1.15 buys in 2013. A buck 15 will not buy a half gallon in Fairfax County, Virginia. Maybe in the next county south.
Those old checks showed that a family with five kids back in the early 70s would have a grocery bill of about $15 on a typical visit to Grand Union (which no longer exists, at least there.) Now it’s $75 to $100 or more several times a week to feed fewer people.
Back in Wisconsin in the 50s and 60s prices were pretty much the same. There was some inflation, but it seemed to matter less than in a later period. A family that really can’t afford a new car, not even to mention a house, now could swing both in those benighted times before iPhones and apps for horoscopes or whatever.
Without a crash course in economics, someone who ponders it a bit might think that the prices of things and un-things (services) are out of whack in relation to other things and other un-things. Back when smaller incomes could buy more of what was needed and desired than can current equal incomes adjusted for inflation. At least it feels that way.
Could that possibly be? How can it be when kids spend $100 a month or more to stand around looking down as they work their thumbs across the virtual keys on their smart phones?
Yet, there could be some truth in those inchoate thoughts bouncing around in one’s memory bank.
Flipping through umpteen channels on the flat screen TV (couldn’t do that back in the Midwest of old) found a guy answering questions before a forum at the Cato Institute. It was Lewis Lehrman, investment banker-Lincoln scholar-historian. He was espousing a return to the gold standard, something many an economist and academic laugh out loud at.

Even a somewhat attentive consumer of longer tooth knows that prices began to get out of whack about the time the U.S. of A. dropped the gold standard. Gold was $35 an ounce in 1971 when Nixon stopped the possibility of going to the bank and converting your dollars into gold. Gold got up to something like $1,700 or $1,800 an ounce before dropping down to whatever it is now ($201.70 the inflation calculator would have it).

Back to Lehrman. Without quoting him exactly, he made two points that really hit home and brought back thoughts of those shredded canceled checks. First, he said that between the 1770s until early in the 20th century, just before WWI, the average Joes could buy and pay nearly the same amount for necessities. The fluctuation was there, but the ups and downs were shallow. Also during that period, money was pegged to gold and silver. Actually, we know, often it was gold and silver coins.
Such a period of affordable pricing for ordinary people could be worked out again, Lehrman asserts. He notes the power was given Congress by Article 1, section 8 of the Constitution. It is power to “coin Money, regulate the Value thereof, and of foreign Coin, and fix the Standard of Weights and Measures.” Fixing the value of the U.S. dollar is not the job of the Federal Reserve Board, he says.
So, anyway, it’s something to think about. Might even preserve the middle class.




Wednesday, August 7, 2013

NEWSPAPERS MAKE NEWS


Selling the Washington Post confirms the foreshadowing of the demise of daily newspapers as we have known them. Only the day before the owner of the Boston Red Socks bought the Boston Globe.
Jeffrey Bezos, the billionaire who is the sole owner under the new set up, said that the Post may no longer be printed 20 years down the road. As someone who made his billions from the Internet, he should know.
Only waiting will show what he has in mind for the paper, which he will oversee from the “left coast.”
Internet growth reduced newspaper readership. When readership decreased, the advertising cash cow started showing its ribs. News holes shrank, lessening the value of the product, exacerbating the decline. Washington, one would think, might slip the noose because politicians live on news. The sale of the Post seems to put the lie to that notion.
One thing seems true: decreased profitability of newspapering has been detrimental to the fundamental job of a free press in a democratic republic. Our First Amendment recognized the right of a free press to keep tabs on government authorized by the people. Money is needed to pay reporters to have time to pursue leads about misfeasance and malfeasance by governmental officials. Fewer ads mean fewer acts of due diligence on the part of the press.
Charges that partisanship deters the press from protecting the governed are easy to make. But Pulitzers are won more readily chasing evildoers rather than saints.
A healthy press depends upon healthy profits. Only free enterprise can provide a free press; a government press cannot by definition.
A billionaire paying for truthful reporting could be a blessing. And perhaps that’s what Bezos will try. He already is spending money on a clock within a mountain that is supposed to be accurate for 10,000 years. But maybe that is easier to achieve than a vigorous press.